In 2008, Shell presented two scenarios of how the world's energy system could develop to 2050.   Blueprints was the more environmentally-conscious scenario.  Yet one of the most frequent criticisms has been that "Blueprints isn't good enough" because the rate at which emissions profile turned round "is too slow".

Many agencies present 'green' scenarios, involving a transformation of the world's energy system.  Yet how quickly can this change realistically take place?  Many argue that with a bit of effort and the right incentives, we can see the sorts of rates of change in the energy system we have become used to in the world of information technology.  In this talk, Martin will use the evidence from past successful energy technologies to point to the factors constraining deployment rates in the energy system.

About the speaker, Martin Haigh, Shell UK

Martin led the development of Shell's World Energy Model, which underpinned much of the analysis behind the recent Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050. Martin has worked in Shell's scenarios team for the last five years, including working on Shell's behalf with MIT's climate science team. His background is mathematics, and before working in Shell's scenarios team, he worked in mathematical and economic modelling both elsewhere in Shell, and prior to that in the railways and telecoms industries.

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